In finance, technical analysis is an analysis methodology for analysing and forecasting the direction of prices through the study of past market data, primarily price and volume.
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In finance, technical analysis is an analysis methodology for analysing and forecasting the direction of prices through the study of past market data, primarily price and volume.
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The efficacy of both technical and fundamental analysis is disputed by the efficient-market hypothesis, which states that stock market prices are essentially unpredictable, and research on whether technical analysis offers any benefit has produced mixed results.
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Principles of technical analysis are derived from hundreds of years of financial market data.
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Some aspects of technical analysis began to appear in Amsterdam-based merchant Joseph de la Vega's accounts of the Dutch financial markets in the 17th century.
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Early technical analysis was almost exclusively the analysis of charts because the processing power of computers was not available for the modern degree of statistical analysis.
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Pure forms of technical analysis can hold that prices already reflect all the underlying fundamental factors.
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Contrast against quantitative Technical analysis is less clear cut than the distinction with fundamental Technical analysis.
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Academics such as Eugene Fama say the evidence for technical analysis is sparse and is inconsistent with the weak form of the efficient-market hypothesis.
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Users hold that even if technical analysis cannot predict the future, it helps to identify trends, tendencies, and trading opportunities.
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Core principle of technical analysis is that a market's price reflects all relevant information impacting that market.
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Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions.
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Industry is globally represented by the International Federation of Technical analysis Analysts, which is a federation of regional and national organizations.
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Whether technical analysis actually works is a matter of controversy.
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Efficient-market hypothesis contradicts the basic tenets of technical analysis by stating that past prices cannot be used to profitably predict future prices.
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One of the problems with conventional technical analysis has been the difficulty of specifying the patterns in a manner that permits objective testing.
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In 2013, Kim Man Lui and T Chong pointed out that the past findings on technical analysis mostly reported the profitability of specific trading rules for a given set of historical data.
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