28 Facts About Allan Lichtman

Allan Jay Lichtman is an American historian who has taught at American University in Washington, DC since 1973.

Allan Lichtman is known for creating the Keys to the White House with Soviet seismologist Vladimir Keilis-Borok in 1981.

Allan Lichtman has accurately predicted the outcomes of many presidential elections from 1984 through 2020 using his interpretations of the system.

Allan Lichtman ran for the US Senate seat in Maryland during the year of 2006; he finished sixth in the Democratic primary.

In 2017, Allan Lichtman authored the book The Case for Impeachment, which laid out multiple arguments for the first impeachment of Donald Trump.

Allan Lichtman was born in the Brownsville neighborhood of Brooklyn in New York City.

Allan Lichtman finished 6th in the 1500 m that year, running 4:17.48.

Allan Lichtman began teaching at American University in 1973 and became a full professor by 1980.

Allan Lichtman was seen as a long-shot candidate with little support.

Allan Lichtman criticized front-runner US Representative Ben Cardin for his votes to fund the Iraq War.

Allan Lichtman lost the primary election to Cardin, receiving 6,919 votes and finishing sixth in a field of 18.

Allan Lichtman has provided commentary for networks and cable channels such as CNN, MSNBC, and Fox News.

Allan Lichtman concluded that "there were major racial disparities in ballot rejection rates".

In 2017, Allan Lichtman wrote The Case for Impeachment, laying out multiple arguments for the impeachment of Donald Trump.

In 2020, Allan Lichtman published Repeal the Second Amendment, in which he argued that the only way to solve the US gun violence epidemic is to repeal the Second Amendment.

Allan Lichtman is best known for the election forecasting system presented in his books The Thirteen Keys to the Presidency and The Keys to the White House.

Allan Lichtman has correctly predicted nine of the eleven presidential elections held since 1984 by using his keys.

Allan Lichtman originally defined his model as predicting the outcome of the popular vote.

In 2000, Allan Lichtman predicted a win for the Democratic front-runner, Vice President Al Gore.

In September 2016, Allan Lichtman predicted a win for Republican nominee Donald Trump.

Allan Lichtman claimed that since the contested result in 2000, he began predicting the outcome of the Electoral College rather than the popular vote.

Allan Lichtman wrote in 2016 that in the only three elections since 1860 when the popular vote diverged from the Electoral College tally, his keys predicted the popular vote winner.

Allan Lichtman added that those calling for Biden's resignation had "zero track record" of predicting election outcomes.

On September 5,2024, Allan Lichtman predicted that Harris would win the election.

Allan Lichtman still defended his method, saying that the most recent election was an anomaly because the incumbent president withdrew a few months before the election and Trump's aggressive 11th-hour campaign stretch was much more effective with the working class and young voters than Harris's more subdued approach.

Allan Lichtman said the keys would be more accurate for more conventional elections in the future that included primaries and newer candidates.

Allan Lichtman said the keys depend on "a rational, pragmatic electorate", which he argued was compromised by widespread disinformation.

Allan Lichtman cited Elon Musk as a figure who damaged the electorate's ability to vote "rationally".